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Blackjack
Blackjack has the best odds of any game on the casino floor — and the shortest distance between playing it well and playing it badly. Everything here is worked out rather than asserted: the right play for every hand, what a set of table rules actually costs you, and where the game is worth playing.
Where are you right now?
Three ways in. Pick the one that sounds like you.
The best odds on the floor, and the one rule that ruins them
Played correctly, a normal six-deck game costs about 0.46% — better than any other game in the building. Two rules can take that to over 2% without changing anything you can see happening at the table.
Why the dealer’s card decides everything
You act first. Bust, and your bet is gone before the dealer turns a card — that single ordering is where the entire house edge comes from, and it is why every decision you make is really a question about the card the dealer is showing.
A dealer showing a five or a six busts more than four times in ten. Showing an ace, fewer than two times in ten. Same deck, same rules, wildly different hands to be sitting across from.
Dealer bust rates by upcard, six decks, dealer standing on soft 17: 2 35.4% · 3 37.4% · 4 39.4% · 5 41.6% · 6 42.3% · 7 26.2% · 8 24.5% · 9 22.8% · 10 23.0% · A 16.7%.
What each rule on the felt is worth
Table rules are not decoration. The payout on a natural is the one that matters: a table paying 6 to 5 instead of 3 to 2 costs 1.36% on its own — roughly three times the entire house edge of the game you were about to play, and nothing you do with the cards gets it back.
Against a six-deck game where the dealer stands on soft 17: blackjack paying 6 to 5 costs 1.36%, a dealer who hits soft 17 costs 0.22%, no double after split costs 0.12%, doubling restricted to 9–11 costs 0.10%, and late surrender gives back 0.07%.
Every figure in this section is solved in your browser when the page loads, by the same engine behind our two calculators — each possible opening deal played out optimally and weighted by how often it comes up. House edges assume basic strategy throughout.
The chart, solved rather than copied
Your hand down the side, the dealer’s card across the top. Every cell below is worked out when this page loads — by the same solver behind our calculators — for the most common game you will sit down at: six decks, dealer stands on soft 17, double on anything, double after split, blackjack pays 3 to 2.
The chart needs JavaScript, because it is solved here rather than stored. The decisions people look up most, for the game described above:
- Hard 16 against a 7 or higher: hit. Against 2 through 6: stand.
- Hard 12 against a 2 or 3: hit. Against 4, 5 or 6: stand.
- Always split aces and eights. Never split tens or fives.
- Double hard 11 against everything except an ace, and hard 10 against everything except a ten or an ace.
- Soft 18 (A,7): double against 3 through 6, stand against 2, 7 or 8, hit against 9, 10 or an ace.
- Never take insurance.
Free blackjack tools
No email, no signup. Each of these solves the maths in your browser rather than reading a stored chart.
The basics
Six decisions make up the whole game. These are they.
The strategy path
In order. Each one assumes the one above it.
Beyond the basic game
Everything the casino puts next to the blackjack table, priced honestly.
These guides are being written. Until they land, our house edge calculator will price any rule set you meet on one of these tables.
Bonuses, priced for a blackjack player
A 10% contribution means only $1 in every $10 wagered counts. Compare the match and the total betting per $1 of bonus below; the exact blackjack variant matters.
Where to play
Casinos covered in the bonus comparison below. Check the exact blackjack variant and table rules before playing — the payout and the soft-17 rule matter far more than the brand on the door.
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